皇冠投注平台出租:Insight - Funds are turning sour on gold, unexpectedly

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Gold itself has risen 3.9% over the past three weeks, its best run since the eve of Moscow’s war in February – behaving much as you’d expect. The funds aren’t buying it.

GOLD, according to financial markets lore, is a pretty simple beast.

For all its complexities, at bottom what it likes is a weak dollar, turmoil, and lower interest rates.

Falls in the greenback mathematically raise the price of dollar-denominated commodities.

Turmoil makes investors head for safe-haven assets, of which gold is by far the most long-standing.

Lower rates reduce the appeal of its main competitor as a haven, yield-producing government debt.

That makes the activity of money managers of late rather mystifying.

Animal spirits appear to be returning to financial markets, paring back interest rates and dollar strength, while US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan is threatening to spark the biggest geopolitical crisis since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Gold itself has risen 3.9% over the past three weeks, its best run since the eve of Moscow’s war in February – behaving much as you’d expect.

The funds aren’t buying it.

In data going back to 2006, money managers have almost always had a net long position in Chicago-traded gold futures and options, with more of them betting prices will rise than fall.

In just 37 weeks out of 841 has the group been counting on gold weakness – but that’s what’s been happening in recent weeks.

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As of July 26, their net positioning was short by 10,474 contracts, before bouncing back to a narrow long of 27,899 contracts last Tuesday.

Net short positions have only cropped up on a handful of occasions toward the end of 2015 and 2018 (and, very briefly, at the start of 2016 and 2019)

Short of cash

Investment funds have taken out a rare net short position in Chicago gold futures and options.

One possible explanation could be that more and more of the gambling money in gold markets is headed into private hands.

There’s another group of investors from whom the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission collects data, known as “other reportables.”

Like money managers, they’re making macro bets on gold rather than in the physical metal business or trading the spreads between bid and ask prices.

Unlike them, they’re wagering their own money, as family offices, in-house hedge funds, or affluent private clients.

They’re almost always on the long side of the trade, and in the past two years they’ve risen to take on a larger share of long positions than conventional managed money funds.

ETF investors

The gross long gold position held by “other reportables” traders – mostly funds managing their own money – is now larger than that of conventional funds managing other people’s investments

  • 评论列表:
  •  USDT法币交易API(www.trc20.vip)
     发布于 2022-09-13 00:23:20  回复
  • 国足12强赛战绩糟糕,冲击世界杯仅剩理论上希望,甚至已经可以提前宣布出局。尽管在拥有多名归化球员的情况下没法实现世界杯梦想颇为遗憾,但相比于无缘出线更让媒体和球迷不满的是,主教练李铁在执教过程中所存在的问题,对于国足冲击世界杯梦想的打击,远远超出了球队实力本身。而在踢完澳大利亚的比赛之后,关于李铁下课的呼声也四起,但从目前国足的处境,不管换谁来接替李铁的职位,都已经难以率队出线,哪怕是挤到第三名,恐怕也需要奇迹发生了。还可以,之前看了一些

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